forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions

207 rows sorted by candidate

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Suggested facets: year, result, winflag

Link rowid state year candidate ▼ forecast_prob result winflag
104 Missouri 2012 Akin 0.02 Loss 0
170 Tennessee 2008 Alexander 1.0 Win 1
75 Maine 2008 Allen 0.0 Lose 0
189 Virginia 2012 Allen 0.12 Loss 0
113 Nevada 2010 Angle 0.83 Loss 0
119 New Hampshire 2010 Ayotte 1.0 Win 1
201 Wisconsin 2012 Baldwin 0.21 Loss 0
4 Alabama 2010 Barnes 0.0 Loss 0
204 Wyoming 2012 Barrasso 1.0 Win 1
206 Wyoming (special election) 2008 Barrasso 1.0 Win 1
105 Montana 2008 Baucus 1.0 Win 1
193 Washington 2012 Baumgartner 0.12 Loss 0
84 Massachusetts 2008 Beatty 0.0 Lose 0
5 Alaska 2008 Begich 1.0 Win 1
22 Colorado 2010 Bennett 0.35 Win 1
141 North Dakota 2012 Berg 0.92 Loss 0
116 Nevada 2012 Berkeley 0.17 Loss 0
27 Delaware 2008 Biden 1.0 Win 1
94 Minnesota 2012 Bills 0.0 Loss 0
23 Connecticut 2010 Blumenthal 1.0 Win 1
101 Missouri 2010 Blunt 0.99 Win 1
82 Maryland 2012 Bongino 0.0 Loss 0
15 Arkansas 2010 Boozman 1.0 Win 1
183 Vermont 2010 Britton 0.0 Loss 0
86 Massachusetts 2012 Brown 0.06 Loss 0
145 Ohio 2012 Brown 0.97 Win 1
21 Colorado 2010 Buck 0.65 Loss 0
137 North Carolina 2010 Burr 1.0 Win 1
192 Washington 2012 Cantwell 0.88 Win 1
81 Maryland 2012 Cardin 1.0 Win 1
13 Arizona 2012 Carmona 0.04 Loss 0
102 Missouri 2010 Carnahan 0.01 Loss 0
31 Delaware 2012 Carper 1.0 Win 1
207 Wyoming (special election) 2008 Carter 0.0 Lose 0
157 Pennsylvania 2012 Casey 0.99 Win 1
43 Hawaii 2010 Cavasso 0.0 Loss 0
38 Georgia 2008 Chambilss 0.88 Win 1
205 Wyoming 2012 Chestnut 0.0 Loss 0
173 Tennessee 2012 Clayton 0.0 Loss 0
54 Indiana 2010 Coats 1.0 Win 1
149 Oklahoma 2010 Coburn 1.0 Win 1
95 Mississippi 2008 Cochran 1.0 Win 1
92 Minnesota 2008 Coleman 0.48 Lose 0
74 Maine 2008 Collins 1.0 Win 1
164 South Carolina 2008 Conley 0.0 Lose 0
61 Iowa 2010 Conlin 0.0 Loss 0
69 Kentucky 2010 Conway 0.0 Loss 0
29 Delaware 2010 Coons 1.0 Win 1
172 Tennessee 2012 Corker 1.0 Win 1
174 Texas 2008 Cornyn 1.0 Win 1
48 Idaho 2010 Crapo 1.0 Win 1
34 Florida 2010 Crist 0.03 Loss 0
176 Texas 2012 Cruz 1.0 Win 1
165 South Carolina 2010 DeMint 1.0 Win 1
78 Maine 2012 Dill 0.01 Loss 0
134 New York (special election) 2010 DioGuardi 0.0 Loss 0
136 North Carolina 2008 Dole 0.12 Lose 0
56 Indiana 2012 Donnelly 0.7 Win 1
50 Illinois 2008 Durbin 1.0 Win 1
168 South Dakota 2008 Dykstra 0.0 Lose 0
55 Indiana 2010 Ellsworth 0.0 Loss 0
18 California 2012 Emken 0.0 Loss 0
202 Wyoming 2008 Enzi 1.0 Win 1
199 Wisconsin 2010 Feingold 0.03 Loss 0
17 California 2012 Feinstein 1.0 Win 1
2 Alabama 2008 Figures 0.0 Lose 0
111 Nebraska 2012 Fischer 0.99 Win 1
144 Ohio 2010 Fisher 0.0 Loss 0
12 Arizona 2012 Flake 0.96 Win 1
96 Mississippi 2008 Fleming 0.0 Lose 0
91 Minnesota 2008 Franken 0.52 Win 1
53 Illinois 2010 Giannoulias 0.31 Loss 0
131 New York 2012 Gillibrand 1.0 Win 1
133 New York (special election) 2010 Gillibrand 1.0 Win 1
187 Virginia 2008 Gilmore 0.0 Lose 0
10 Arizona 2010 Glassman 1.0 Win 1
98 Mississippi 2012 Gore 0.0 Loss 0
163 South Carolina 2008 Graham 1.0 Win 1
179 Utah 2010 Granato 0.0 Loss 0
60 Iowa 2010 Grassley 1.0 Win 1
166 South Carolina 2010 Greene 0.0 Loss 0
135 North Carolina 2008 Hagan 0.88 Win 1
58 Iowa 2008 Harkin 1.0 Win 1
180 Utah 2012 Hatch 1.0 Win 1
127 New Mexico 2012 Heinrich 0.97 Win 1
142 North Dakota 2012 Heitkamp 0.08 Win 1
115 Nevada 2012 Heller 0.83 Win 1
162 Rhode Island 2012 Hinkley 0.0 Loss 0
44 Hawaii 2012 Hirono 1.0 Win 1
120 New Hampshire 2010 Hodes 0.0 Loss 0
90 Michigan 2012 Hoekstra 0.0 Loss 0
139 North Dakota 2010 Hoeven 1.0 Win 1
88 Michigan 2008 Hoogendyk 0.0 Lose 0
154 Oregon 2010 Huffman 0.0 Loss 0
147 Oklahoma 2008 Inhofe 1.0 Win 1
42 Hawaii 2010 Inouye 1.0 Win 1
40 Georgia 2010 Isakson 1.0 Win 1
109 Nebraska 2008 Johanns 0.99 Win 1
167 South Dakota 2008 Johnson 1.0 Win 1
198 Wisconsin 2010 Johnson 0.97 Win 1

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CREATE TABLE "forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions" (
"state" TEXT,
  "year" INTEGER,
  "candidate" TEXT,
  "forecast_prob" REAL,
  "result" TEXT,
  "winflag" INTEGER
);
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